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Adam Said,
January 25th, 2008 @2:04 pm  

Interesting stuff, Connie–thanks. First off, I think it’s always a bad idea to try to prevent people from getting together to discuss/debate. This is what America and democracy are all about. That said, having grown up in a small town, I know how weird local politics can be.
Second, I myself believe that climate change is a real phenomenon. From what I’ve read, the theory makes sense. And where there are holes in my own knowledge base, I defer to scientists - who literally spend their lives researching the atmosphere, carbon levels, temperature fluctuations, etc. I think part of the problem with the current discourse is that, somewhere along the line, the precautionary principle got a bad rap. Yes, it’s impossible to quantify a perfect estimate of the potential impact of a 3.5-degree increase in temperature by 2100. (And yes, I do agree that the Stern Report may overestimate the impacts on a few accounts.) But individuals who focus on these unknowns and imperfections miss the overall point: the potential impact is big enough to merit a concerted effort at stabilizing the carbon content of the atmosphere between 450 and 550 ppm.
Finally, on a final side note, I find it interesting that may climate change skeptics are often pro-business and/or anti-big government. I may be generalizing here, and if I am, please call me out. But the irony is that climate change, if approached correctly, is a great opportunity to create new, revitalized sectors in an otherwise vulnerable economy. Indeed, this is already happening in many parts of the country (e.g., California). But far too often I see people splitting hairs over a few degrees instead of grabbing the issue by the horns and coming up with real, market-based solutions that take advantage of an under-supplied good: reliable, low-carbon energy.
Whew. Apologies if I’ve rambled on here. Thanks again, Connie.

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Margaret Said,
January 28th, 2008 @12:45 pm  

This is such a good topic, Connie–when you work and live around people who share the same beliefs, it’s easy to forget sometimes that there’s still a huge segment of the population thinking differently. I feel like most people are inclined to defer to scientists on this topic, as Adam has, and I have, and as all of us have who agree that humans have had a bit to do with the current state of things. When people decline to listen to scientists, I think it’s often because they are, as Adam points out, hung up on the details and slight uncertainties. The problem is that it’s the scientists’ responsibility to present their research, not to generalize based on that research. If a statistic is 98%, they can’t tell the public 100%. And some of the public then thinks…what about that 2%? The irony is that it’s the very integrity of the scientists that causes the problem. Sometimes it’s easier for people to just go with the guy saying “absolutely 100%” without offering proof of any kind, rather than listening to the guy saying, “98%, and look at all this data!” What I hope is that we quickly reach the tipping point of this debate, where so many people accept the reality of climate change that the few who don’t are no longer in a position to undermine attempts to confront it.

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